With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close ...

Donald Trump - at a large rally on Long Island - vows to become the first Republican presidential candidate in 40 years to ...

"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.

The Nostradamus of U.S. presidential elections has predicted a winner when the country goes to the polls in November.Pollsters will no doubt swing back and forth between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump ...

Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential ...

After predicting the outcomes of multiple close elections, a leading data scientist has predicted a landslide victory for ...

Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.

Here's what the 2024 presidential election map looks like based on the latest odds for the swing states, plus the default vote allocation for the rest of the 42 states and the District of Columbia ...

The reason it takes so long to evaluate forecasts of presidential elections is obvious: There is only one presidential election every four years. In fact, we are now having only our 60th ...

New Hampshire carries four Electoral College votes, Minnesota 10 and Virginia 13. The latest update means Harris currently ...

Weeks before Nov. 5, the date of the 2024 election, the vast majority of voters across the country will be able to cast their votes early in person or by mail in most states, if that’s what they’d ...