Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table ...
Donald Trump - at a large rally on Long Island - vows to become the first Republican presidential candidate in 40 years to ...
"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.
Here's what the 2024 presidential election map looks like based on the latest odds for the swing states, plus the default vote allocation for the rest of the 42 states and the District of ...
Barron Trump’s choice of college following his May 2024 high school graduation from Oxbridge Academy in West Palm Beach, Florida, ends a months-long query. The son of the former president and former ...
Dive into the weeds of our new Harris-Trump model. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the ...
The Nostradamus of U.S. presidential elections has predicted a winner when the country goes to the polls in ...
The reason it takes so long to evaluate forecasts of presidential elections is obvious: There is only one presidential election every four years. In fact, we are now having only our 60th ...
Sri Lanka's election this coming Saturday has raised doubts over when its long-awaited debt deal with bondholders will be ...
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