It comes after the first MRP poll predicted Newark to be the most marginal ... Interestingly Reform UK are also now predicted ...

However, the MRP polls do not agree on how much more the Conservative ... Conservative support must be falling more heavily elsewhere. Meanwhile, Reform UK’s predecessor, the Brexit Party ...

or to the MRP from June 3. It is the June 4 poll that puts Reform UK on 17% across the country. In that same poll, the Conservative Party scored 19%. When broken down by region, in the Midlands ...

Reform UK and Plaid Cymru on three each, and the Greens on two. None of the Conservatives’ seats would be in Wales, the North East or the North West, if the MRP poll findings are realised.

(MRP stands for "multi-level regression and post-stratification" - a relatively new polling method that is meant ... jostling for influence What is the UK's plan to send asylum seekers to Rwanda?

According to new constituency polling conducted by Survation, Nigel Farage is on track to win his constituency of Clacton by a wide margin. The poll currently shows Farage leading the field ...

For all the near-apocalyptic warnings of possible government defeat, Rishi Sunak's Rwanda Bill this week cleared the House of Commons by a comfortable margin. But despite this clear moment of ...